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JMT:EURONEXT LISBONJeronimo Martins STND FUT Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-05 - not real-time

THB 11.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical momentum is clearly bullish: the price at 11.8 sits above the 20‑day SMA (11.13), the 50‑day SMA (10.65) and the 200‑day SMA (9.80), while the RSI of 61.6 and a bullish MACD histogram confirm upward pressure. Volume is on an increasing trend, support holds at 10.20 and resistance is near 12.10, and market sentiment is at an "Extreme Greed" level (93.2). The stock also offers a high dividend yield of 7.29% and an attractive price‑to‑book ratio of 0.63, indicating potential value.
Risk considerations remain significant: 30‑day volatility is elevated at 43%, with a historical max drawdown of 41%, and beta is near zero, suggesting limited correlation with broader market moves. Nevertheless, valuation metrics are appealing (trailing PE 18.2, forward PE 12.7) and the dividend profile supports a longer‑term hold.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major SMAs and bullish MACD
  • Increasing volume and strong support level
  • High dividend yield enhancing total return

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation remains attractive but volatility is elevated
  • Approaching resistance near 12.10 may limit upside
  • Sustained dividend payout supports income focus

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low price‑to‑book and forward PE suggest undervaluation
  • Consistent dividend yield provides steady cash flow
  • Fundamental metrics and sector outlook support growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price11.8
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.6
SupportTHB 10.20
ResistanceTHB 12.10
MA 20THB 11.13
MA 50THB 10.65
MA 200THB 9.80
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.2

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.09
Volatility43.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.